Thingish Things

The Florida Gamblers

  Some InTrade political bettors with intestinal fortitude stand to make a fortune on Tuesday — or at least a high rate of return — if, indeed, Mitt Romney wins the Sunshine State primary. The Dublin-based predictions market gives Mitt Romney a 97.1% chance of winning the Florida Primary — up from somewhere in the 30’s just 10 or […]

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Reality Check with Intrade

I like to check in from time to time with Dublin’s Intrade prediction market to see what bettors are thinking about U.S. elections.  Intrade (presumably) is a for-profit version of the Iowa Futures Market created some years ago by the University of Iowa to test the accuracy of political predictions when money is at stake. Those predictions have proved to be […]

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