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Thingish Things

Moore and More Audacious

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 26•11

 

The Michael Moore Mask, forbes.com

Michael Moore is one of the great con artists of our time.

The ostensible champion of the downtrodden has been raking it in for years, cleverly disguising the fact that his socialistic words have made him capitally rich. Maybe it’s the baseball hat and sloven look that lets him get away with it. Or maybe the poets on the Left are just plain stupid. 

It is estimated that Moore is worth well in excess of $50 million. He got rich bashing corporate America, while simultaneously investing in companies like Halliburton, Sunoco, Pfizer, and McDonald’s, according to published reports — the punching bags of the American Left.

But, characteristically, that didn’t stop Moore from joining the Wall Street demonstrators today to steal a piece of the media attention they are generating. There he was in all his hyped-up glory hammering away at corporate greed in John Zuccoti Park, while being cheered by starry-eyed Scarsdale radicals.  If one ever needed proof that you can’t buy common sense at fancy East Coast colleges, the Wall Street protesters provided it today in falling for Moore’s exhausted act.

Moore has done interview after interview this year lambasting the “wealthy” for not sharing their largess. Let it begin with thee, he angrily suggests.

But if Michael Moore cares so deeply about the poor, why doesn’t he give them his money? And why does he keep trying to make more of the stuff investing in companies he says are exploiting the poor?

The answer is simple and obvious. Moore is a capitalist and a fraud. Especially a fraud. He should be given a seat on the New York Stock Exchange. He’d be right at home. 

Reality Check with Intrade

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 26•11

Obama Intrade Re-Election Graph

I like to check in from time to time with Dublin’s Intrade prediction market to see what bettors are thinking about U.S. elections.  Intrade (presumably) is a for-profit version of the Iowa Futures Market created some years ago by the University of Iowa to test the accuracy of political predictions when money is at stake. Those predictions have proved to be dead on in most cases.

Intrade often lags U.S. polling, which serves as a snapshot in time. Bettors weigh long-term factors.  President Obama’s drop in the polls, for example, had not been exactly reflected in the Intrade market.  But today, for the first time, I noticed that President Obama is given less than a 50% chance by bettors of being re-elected.  That’s a big development. The President is now given 47.7% odds of winning office again in 2012.

Another interesting tidbit is that Intrade bettors vastly prefer Mitt Romney over Rick Perry, $44.2% to 24.9%, where most U.S. polls have Perry several points ahead of Romney. Bettors clearly see Romney as more electable and they are wagering he can make it through the primary.  These numbers can all change at the drop of a hat, of course.  President Obama had a 70% re-election prediction when Osama bin Laden was dispatched to the deep, but, like bin Laden, his numbers quickly sank. 

One more thing.  What are the odds that Governor Chris Christie announces for President before the end of the year?  I’ll tell you exactly.  They are 21% as of today.  Dublin says so. 

 

 

Lamp Shade Photos

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 26•11

 

from guardianco.uk

from photoblog.msnbc.com

from stltoday.com

You know those terribly embarrassing photos from high school?  The ones where you were cross-eyed with your tongue thrust sideways or sporting a peach fuzz mustache atop a Frankie-Says-Relax tee shirt? (That wasn’t me.)

I can’t help but think that the photos being posted by this week’s Wall Street protesters will one day become fodder for bachelorette parties and retirement roasts. (Can’t you hear the squeals? OMG, that’s when we were at Bryn Mawr!)

I also can’t help but giggle at the irony that my generation’s Hippies are the ones peering through the windows of their Wall Street office windows at today’s protesters, thinking, well,  “what an idiot I once was.”

Kids today…

 

 

Pondering the Death Penalty

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 25•11

from onthefencewithjesus.com

I used to be against the death penalty.  Then I read the transcript of the torture and murder of a teenage girl by two men in the 1980’s.  They audiotaped their barbarity for kicks, taking turns in the back of a van doing things so cruel that I had to stop reading about them.  It was as bad – or worse – as watching people jump from the burning World Trade Center towers. 

That transcript completely changed my opinion on capital punishment. I abandoned all Christian orthodoxy on the issue that day.  Arguments about deterrence or life-without-parole also became irrelevant. Practicality and vengeance were at issue. 

These two animals, and others like them, had to disappear from the face of the earth as quickly as possible. And society, I came to believe, had the right to express its outrage in dispatching them.  I would have personally flipped the switch  on both those men and have gone to hell willingly for it if necessary – because it would have been the right thing to do, just as Seal Team Six was justified in putting a couple of bullets in Osama bin Laden’s head.  

Syndicated columnist and National Review editor-at-large Jonah Goldberg has a brilliant piece out on the death penalty that got me thinking about this issue again, comparing two executions in the U.S. this week.

The first, the case of Georgia’s Troy Davis, got most of the media attention because anti-death penalty advocates trumpeted it. Davis, convicted of killing a police officer, maintained his innocence to the end.  The other person, Lawrence Russell Brewer, was a Texas white supremacist who dragged a black man to a gruesome death from the back of a pickup truck. Brewer readily admitted it. Indeed, he bragged about it, at one point testifying:  “As far as any regrets, no, I have no regrets. . . . I’d do it all over again, to tell you the truth.” His only defense was that the victim’s throat had been slit, ending his life, before the dragging began.  (That was proven to be false.)

Writes Goldberg:

There are many sincere and decent people – on both sides of the ideological spectrum – who are opposed to the death penalty. I consider it an honorable position, even though I disagree with it.

I am 100% in favor of lawfully executing people who deserve the death penalty and 100% opposed to killing people who do not deserve it. When I say that, many death penalty opponents angrily respond that I’m missing the point: You can never be certain! Troy Davis proves that! 

But he proves no such thing. At best, his case proves that you can’t be certain about Davis. You most certainly can be certain about other murderers. If we learn that Davis really was not guilty, that will be a heart-wrenching revelation. It will cast a negative light on the death penalty, on the Georgia criminal justice system and on America.

But you know what it won’t do? It won’t render Brewer one iota less guilty or less deserving of the death penalty. Opponents of capital punishment are extremely selective about the cases they make into public crusades.

Timothy McVeigh killed 168 people including 19 children. He admitted it. How does doubt in Troy Davis’ case make McVeigh less deserving of death?

I have a good friend and former client who was a star prosecutor in the Manhattan District Attorney’s office.  He is a leading national opponent of the death penalty because, he privately explained to me, “prosecutors f*@# up all the time. It happens a lot more than people think.”

I have to admit, he had me going on that one. Surely it is worse to put one innocent man to death than to give absolute justice to 10, including the two savages I have never been able to get out of my head. But, as Goldberg argues, what happens when you have them cold, like the two men now on trial for raping and burning alive a mother and her two children in a Connecticut home invasion last year?  What should happen when there is zero doubt about their guilt? 

What to do, what to do?

 

The San Francisco Sound

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 24•11

The Democratic Message. from psychology today

I woke up thinking about that old Ronald Reagan quip explaining why he became a Republican.  “I didn’t leave the Democratic Party,” Reagan said. “The Democratic Party left me.” That line rang true for millions of Americans in the 1970’s and 80’s who famously became known as Reagan Democrats.

Today’s Democratic Party strikes me as being in danger of another hemorrhaging.  Its rhetoric has become snarly and Trotsky-esque.  To my ear, that’s not going to appeal to voters en masse.  

The 2011, poll-tested Democratic Party script goes pretty much like this:

“Help us stop the extremist, right-wing Tea Party agenda that threatens our  progressive values and hard-fought social gains in favor of oil-rich corporate millionaires and billionaires who don’t pay their fair share in taxes and are fighting to reverse 100 years of middle-class union progress.”

Breathe. 

It doesn’t matter who the Democrat is running against, that’s basically the message. Those of us working in Republican politics are running into those words as often as McDonald’s line worker runs across pickles.  Pardon me for the cliché, but it’s a class warfare message that has never appealed to Americans in numbers (just ask Gus Hall).   This is a capitalist country at its core.

I don’t blame President Obama. His message is too disjointed to be so disciplined. The neo-Trotsky sound is pure Haight-Ashbury Nancy Pelosi, with a loving spoonful or two of  Harry Reid thrown in.  Their staffs are polling their themes, not the themes most Americans care about — private-sector job growth and debt reduction. In doing so, the Democrats are falling into the same trap Republicans fell into during the Bush 43 presidency – they are talking — screaming — to the base at the expense of everyone else.

One Democrat who is not succumbing to the hard-Left siren happens to live down the road from me.  He is the new governor of New York, Andrew Cuomo.  Governor Cuomo is as cut-throat and wily as any politician in America – maybe more so — and he has a great ear for politics. He, almost alone among Democrats, has found the right centrist tone.  His 73-percent job approval rating reflects it.

I have feared, professionally, a Democratic Party in Andrew Cuomo’s mold since he began campaigning for governor two years ago. But it seems the Nancy Pelosis and Harry Reids of the world fear it more.  Lucky for the Republicans – if they can capitalize on it.

The Rug Under Our Feet

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 23•11

Ughh. I’m going to have to re-think everything

When the Fire Goes Out

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 22•11

 

from newyorkcityfeelings.com

On Election Day 1989, while working ballot security in Harlem for the mayoral campaign of Republican Rudy Giuliani, I saw the most extraordinary thing.   I was in the passenger seat of a car stopped at 125th Street and Lexington Avenue as an African-American volunteer for the Democratic candidate, David Dinkins, carried an elderly black woman in front of my car and across the Avenue toward her polling place.  It was all I could do not to bust out crying.

It was a competitive election, and I remember thinking “how do you compete with that?” Well, you cannot. David Dinkins went on to become the first black mayor in New York City history. All day that day I had been in a partisan mindset. I had volunteered at Mr. Giuliani’s Rockefeller Center headquarters for months.  But seeing the look on that old woman’s face — the pride — made losing later that night at the old Roosevelt Hotel ballroom a heck of a lot easier.

My friend and Obama supporter Jonathan Capehart at the Washington Post penned a piece today that reminded me of that day 22 years ago. But his column was focused on a day four years later when, after a disastrous term as mayor, African-American voters failed to turn out in the numbers they did in 1989 to re-elect Mayor Dinkins.  Mayor Giuliani won handily on Election Day 1993 in a heavily Democratic city. There has not been a Democratic mayor of New York since.

Mr. Capehart, who later helped advise businessman Mike Bloomberg to his own mayoralty, writes of the stunning loss of ardent support for President Obama in the African-American community. In April, President Obama had an 83% “strong approval” rating among black voters, according to Gallup.  That number is down to 58% today.  

Writes Capehart: 

“If African Americans don’t show up at the polls in November 2012, Obama could go the way of David Dinkins, the first black mayor of New York City. The parallels between the environment faced by Dinkins during his mayoralty and Obama during his presidency are noteworthy.”

Judging by the economic trajectory we are on now, and President Obama’s fecklessness of late, I cannot imagine him doing anything so inspirational between now and November 2012 to warrant a repeat of what I once witnessed on a Harlem street corner. 

I wish I had taken a picture. It was a sight to see.  

Feting a Crook

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 22•11

Rep. Charlie Rangel (D) will be feted today at the unveiling of a portrait he, himself, commissioned with $64,000 raised from special interest PACs while he briefly served as Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee.

Everyone will be there – the House Republican leader, Nancy Pelosi (D), New York senators Chuck Schumer and Kirsten Gillibrand (D), the Chairman of the Congressional Black Caucus, et al.  

They all like Charlie Rangel.  A lot of people like Charlie Rangel.  He is smart, funny, and gregarious, and, he will remind you, he is a decorated Korean War veteran.  The only problem is that he is crook. He effectively stole money from low-income New Yorkers by illegally using rent stabilized apartments for political use – those apartments are for families to live in – he failed to pay taxes on a secret Caribbean villa, and he hid significant financial assets from his House Ethics Report. He was censored in the House for those ethics violations by a vote of 333-79 ten months ago, and he was forced to step down as Chairman of the very committee for which his chairmanship today is being celebrated.

Where to start?

Charlie Rangel has a forceful personality no doubt.  He used every means at his disposal to save his own hide when his secrets were exposed. He badgered the press, flashed his famous wit, patted the old boys on the back – and used the race card like a stun gun against inquisitors.

In The Hill today is a typical example.  When questioned about the appropriateness of using campaign dollars for the portrait, Rangel, referring to other paintings hanging  in the Capitol retorted “the only black folks I see are slaves holding the goddamn horses.”  

That’s Charlie Rangel, ever-quick with the oblique.  It is the reason hundreds of high-profile people, including Governor Cuomo and Mayor Bloomberg attended his gala 80th birthday party at the Plaza, smack in the middle of his House ethics trial.

Of all the things Rangel was found guilty of, his use of four rent stabilized apartments bothers me the most.  It is impossible, as a New Yorker, not to know you are doing wrong if you are illegally using a rent stabilized apartment.  It would be like Jay-walking on Rodeo Drive. There is no way you don’t know you’re doing it. Yet Rangel did it for years while his constituents struggled to pay rent.

No one is ignoring the good things Charlie Rangel did for his country. What they are ignoring are the bad things.  And that is wrong. 

California, Bon Voyage

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 21•11

Disaster enthusiasts have long predicted that the San Andreas Fault would one day sever California from the U.S. mainland.

Too late.  It has already happened, and it didn’t take an earthquake to do it.  Stoned radicals – they just have to be – have accomplished what the earth’s crust has long resisted.  

West Hollywood, CA is the latest municipality to shove off the Arizona coastline with a legal ban of all animal hair products sold or purchased in its environs.  Fur is the headline, but wool, angora, and all other animal-based fabrics are now contraband, too.  A thick Irish knit sweater will put you in the West Hollywood klinker for life.  God only knows what using silk from silkworms would get you.

I’m not a fan of fur, so I choose to forgo that full length sable coat that would look right-smart on me.  I voluntarily stopped eating swordfish for a while, and I haven’t had veal in years.  But leave it to the California crazies to do something like this.  Even the Soviets didn’t ban fur and wool – especially fur.

California has a LOT of problems.  And new laws like this one – or the ones banning circumcisions and happy meals – eerily remind me of Poe’s Masque of the Red Death. Instead of a grand dance in the face of Bubonic Plaque, though, California’s leftists are trying to drive through as much  radically liberal legislation as they can before the state’s lights shut out.

Starring Jerry Brown as governor?  This could be a bigger hit than the Poseidon Adventure in Sensearound.

Ahmadinejad’s Tiny Violin

Written By: William F. B. O'Reilly - Sep• 21•11

 

Corporal Hitler, circa 1917

Has anyone not had the following conversation over a large pitcher of beer at some point in life?

“If you had a rifle and a clear line of vision on Adolph Hitler in, say, 1922 — when he hadn’t done anything terrible yet — would you take the shot, knowing what you know now?”  

It was always a brief conversation. The answer, of course, is “yes.” The only one’s who feebly wavered, muttering inanities about psychological interventions, were either too drunk or too inveterately argumentative to state the obvious.  They would come around before the hangover set in. 

So here we are today, with the UN in session, listening to drivel from the Iranians about Israeli assassins picking off its nuclear scientists.  (This from a country that denies flooding neighboring Iraq with tens of thousands of Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) that have killed and maimed thousands of Americans.)

The oil-rich Iranians laughably maintain that their nuclear activities are peaceful in nature, while President Ahmadinejad spews gems about Israel, calling it a “fake regime” that “must be wiped off the map.” He refers to Jews as  “the most detested people in all humanity” and the murder of six million Jews during Hitler’s Holocaust “a myth.”

Are we really supposed to feel sympathy for the highly coincidental demise of several Iranian nuclear engineers? 

Every time I read  about another Iranian scientist driving off a road or forgetting to shut off the gas to his stove, I can’t help but chuckle quietly at what must be going through the heads of their fellow scientists. “Oh, القرف! I should have gone into figs!”

Take the shot.